Diary of Iceland

For no reason in particular, I am taking this opportunity to republish a poem I wrote 18 years ago, after a weekend visit to Iceland.

Friday, 7:00 am – Keflavik
Rain
That speaks of cold
Boldly glistens on the tarmac
Whispers welcome strangely warm
Forms an ever-changing pattern
In the closeness of the sky.
Welcome to Iceland
Welcome to the barren straightway
Road that runs from gateway to the island’s only city.
We’ve framed it just for you –
On the left we poured an ocean’s bay
Gleaming silver in the half-suggested light of day.
On the right we laid a strip of… desolation…
At least that’s what you’d say.
You would call that desolation, that proudly can
Sustain an Iceland pony’s meagre hay.
But never mind, you’re new to us
You’ve yet to learn what lushness means to us.
For now, welcome to Iceland.


Friday, 9:51 am – Nyardvik
Three short days!
So much to see,
So much wild country
To pass in such a hurried haze
These three short days
Of childish energy!
My legs are itching for a walk
That press instead the pedals of my rented car.
Drive me into lands afar!
Where I’ll alight in sight of all I seek:
Peace and glee
And golden fleece
And above all else:
Mystery.

Friday 10:22 am – Hveragerdi

Are you so very jet-lagged?
You for whom we’ve made the welcome true
And hewn a mountain path for you to climb,
To relish in the dew, like rime,
That clings to volcanic rocks and windscreens.
Must you really rest?
Surely no night’s sleep compares
To what you now behold, Iceland’s
Greenest pastures nestled in a valley.
Come, come,
I’ll make a bakery appear, just here on the right,
Neat and clean, with cafe seating and a toilet.
Have a doughnut and a Danish and a coffee strong as spit,
Maybe you should read a bit
Your book about the Iceland farmer who never quit.
Rise up now, like Bjartur,
You have not yet seen my best.
I promise much will happen ‘ere you rest.


Friday 11:30 am – Geysir
That is not the Earth;
Those proud bare scrags
Jagged hilltops breaking where the valleys start.
That is not the Earth;
The road that winds between the Autumn grasses,
Their pastures torn apart.
Nor is the Earth
That ocean far behind me,
Whose salty waves and brine,
Like wrapping paper coat the world
In all things maritime.
THIS is the Earth:
A bubbling cauldron from the depths of Hell,
That tells of molten fire beating like a heart.
See it spew a spray of boiling mist! (We gasp)
The slightest spasm of its burning core, nothing more.
It cares not if the tourists’ cameras click with curiosity
Or if they step withing the water’s reach
And screech in burning agony.
Indifferent too, the bubbling pool of blue-green jewel,
Odour warm with sulphur,
That asks in gurgles random,
How deep am I?
I cannot fathom.
But one thing now I know is clear,
Mother Nature is no fair flower of the spring.
She is a core of liquid rock,
And where her outstretched finger stirs the top, the air
It’s there you’ll find a place called ‘Geysir’.

Friday 12:40 pm – Gullfloss
Superstition’s what they call it,
Viking tales and sagas old
That tell of faeries, elves and trolls.
Now you see the mighty Gullfloss Falls
Where crystal water pounds the rock
To sheets of rising mist and mystery.
This is Iceland’s history.
And look! You see that profile
Carved into the cliffside?
See the gaping mouth and eyeless sockets
Seething wild with power
That pitiless a Viking child devour?
Now turn your glance
To where a vapour lifts its spray
See that in the shifting mist exists
A host of dancing creatures, Elves.
That freed, at last exult themselves
In one fast flight to heaven.
They call it Superstition
These so-called men of science
And come with words in Latin
To rob us of our Nordic right;
They who’ve not spent a single moonlit night
In wary sight of dancing faeries and the Gullfloss Troll
Have stole our legend, thieved our vision
And given us instead their Superstition.

Friday 4:00 pm – Route T3
Desolation
The desert speaks in tones of eerie silence.
No trolls live here, I hope
And hope my rented Opel holds together
Along this fading track –
I could turn back –
But oh! what a view.
The untamed mountains, wild beyond nature,
Upon which is perched a Glacier
See, it bursts into the valley
Then issues forth a lake of nearly frozen pureness.
Stop. This hut atop the hill
Equipped with bunks and filled with Glacial views
Built to use in case of jet-lag.
Here I’ll unfurl my sleeping bag
For today I’ll go no further.

Friday 6:00 pm – Hvitarvatn
They’re coming
At the window panes, the party
Their hearty Nordic frames
They ride on auburn ponies
Iceland’s proudest sons
Gather sheep and sleep in huts like this one.
Did I day ‘sleep’?
Here’s Ole and Ardur and a case of beer and liquor.
Come join us for a drink or eight
There’ll be no sleep at any rate
Until the perfect moon has cast its parting glimmer
On the ice of Langjokull.
We will sing tonight
And dance and eat boiled sheepshead
And will not sleep, but laugh and joke and brag
And you’ll forget there ever was a thing called jet-lag.

Saturday 10:30 am – Route T37

My stomach groans in protest
My temples pound in protest
My rented Opel creaks in protest
As the road grows worse and worse
The price I pay seems high today
But the memory of revelry
Will far outlast these morning-after ailments.
How long ’til Hveravellir is reached?
This eternal path of potholes be damned!
I need some bread, some water and a break.
There. Now I see it, rising geysir steam
A shack or two, the promise of a road improved.
And food.

Saturday 12:00 noon – Hveravellir

Can even dreams perceive this kind of peace?
To lie half-naked in a clear blue pool, a hot spring bath
While silent snowflakes melt against your steaming face
And into snow-capped highlands runs the wandering path.
Iceland’s greatest treasure is its peace, it seems
In such a place we live beyond our dreams.

Saturday 3:00 pm – Blonduos
Receding mountains
Speeding roads
And all at once
The coast explodes,
Fjords of water, fingers now unwind,
That leave the lava desert far behind.
Little village clinging to a shore
A score of houses on an ocean striking
A fishing boat and a pub names Viking
And a guesthouse with a pillow soft as rest,
And as comfortable
As only deep and dreamless sleep can be.

Sunday 10:30 am – Route 1
Soak it in!
The last time I’ll enjoy this weekend spectacle.
The she-troll’s gorge
Volcanoes forged and fading
Their blackened memory pervading
Mocks the grass and flowered greenery
Scarred with rocks and smitten scenery.
Drink it in!
Crystal pure, its gushing source
Where all the water in the world begins
Trickles, falls in fickle sprawls
Ever downward with enduring force.
Now pause to wet my wind-cracked lips
In ample sips
A momentary detour from its everlasting course.
Breathe it in!
What air was always meant to be
Where no debris, nor dust, nor industry
Has sullied these chill gusts
That thrust in heavy gulps upon my lungs
The welcome must of inhalation.
I almost fear to leave you, Iceland,
Though the road cuts south
And straight away along the ocean’s mouth
Into the bay they call ‘Reykyavik’.
Let me stop at one last scenic view
To soak and drink and breathe and plead
That you embue in me a tenth, a hundreth even
Of this perfect paradise.

Monday 3:00 pm – Kalfatjorn
Come out of that tent, you lazy tramp!
Greet your spectral guests
That dance in moonlit circles
Round your makeshift camp.
They are faeries, magic imps
Summoned from the sprigs of heather
Called together from the regions nether
To haunt you in that tent you tethered.
Was I their summoner?
No, not I (though such powers I possess)
Rather, it was a lesser sorceress.
The Celtic witch called Columkill
Who through countless spells’ enchantment
Has earned dominion o’er this hill
And o’er your meagre night’s encampment.
She ordered up this ghostly host
Perhaps because you’re Irish too
To bid farewell to one who came
And knew a place where spirits dwell
In every dell, on every mountain face
Atop the Glacier and along the strand
That forms the paegan soul of Iceland.
We will spend this last night with you
In frenzied revelry aglow
Atop the witch’s hill that frowns
Upon the little coastal towns below.
And when the dawn emerges
Propelling from the Eastern sea the newborn sun
We’ll be dispelled, our magic done.
The day will carry you away from our strange company
And into the sky
And so I whisper now
With half-heard mystery, like a sudden whisp of cloud
My last goodbye.

Back to school! My 22nd Letter to you

Dear Daniel,

I hope you had a wonderful summer and are ready to go back to school.

The back to school season is an exciting time. A chance to meet up with old friends and a chance to meet new ones. I always found that although you are back in the same environment, somehow everything is changed. Because of course, you have changed – with new experiences and ideas learned over the summer break.

Our summer was wonderful – lots of swimming in the sea and lakes, horseriding for your sister, good food and a chance to catch up on books (I post reviews of all the books I read on this blog, so you can always see my reading list).

Now it’s time to get back to work.

I am thinking of you and missing you, as always.

Love,

Dad

This is the beach in Co Wicklow, Ireland where we went swimming with seals

My review of Len Deighton’s ‘Berlin Game’

Berlin Game by Len Deighton

My rating: 3 of 5 stars




I first arrived in Berlin in 1991, having hitchhiked through East Germany in a series of old Trabants and the odd Mercedes. It was the day the telephone company was ripping out all the old GDR public phones and replacing them with Wessie ones, and as I crossed from the lights and noise of West Berlin into East Berlin, I realised I was going to have a hard time making a phone call. In the following years, I would work (and even have one notable flirtation) with East Germans as they struggled to adjust to life in a West that had swallowed their country.

So when I picked up Len Deighton’s Berlin Game, I hoped to revisit a little bit of that intangible sense of Cold War Germany – the clash of cultures and the deeper German culture that lay underneath; the fear and hatred of the Stasi; the casual bigotry of the Wessies against the Ossies; the dull tastelessness of Communism braced against the glitzy degeneracy of Capitalism.

To his credit, Deighton tries hard to fill the book with enough details to create that mood. But that is just the problem: he tries too hard. The details are too studied to feel credible. It contrasts well with the movie Goodbye Lenin, a beautiful and compelling sketch of East Germanness that draws from the artists’ resevoir of details with the natural ease of true natives.

The other major problem is with the book’s protagonist – whose name I have (tellingly) already forgotten two weeks after reading. Who is this man? Is he the pensive, understated and soft-spoken antihero the dialogue suggests? Or is he the scary hard man, prone to outbursts of violence, whom the narrator goes to great pains to describe? After reading the book, I still cannot really say and I’m sure Deighton had no real idea.

This points to a wider weakness in Deighton’s writing. His highly stylistic descriptions are used as a sticking plaster to cover over the shallowness of his characters. I paraphrase a sample here: “She flashed him the kind of smile that said she wanted to know more about his past, but was slightly afraid to ask the question.” There are dozens of these kinds of ‘smiles’ peppered throughout the text, and I’m sure if Deighton sat down with a police sketch artist he would be unable to create a drawing of a single one of them.

Of course, the book is ultimately a spy novel, and therefore should be judged by its compelling, racy plot. But here I have to give it only middling marks. In fact, very little happens, and although the ending is somewhat surprising, it achieves this ‘twist effect’ only by sacrificing the gritty realism that kept the action credible but slow the rest of the way through.

Ultimately the most interesting thing about Berlin Game has nothing to do with spies and little to do with the Cold War. It is what the story tells us about the very English author and his own country. Deighton, son of a working class man, struggled to find a place in a Britain that had faded from power. He wrote the book at the dawn of Thatcherism, at a time when his country had been humiliated by an IMF economic programme, shocked by race relations and bruised by the paramilitary consequences of Britain’s occupation of Northern Ireland.

The result is a well-wrought tale of bureaucratic London, pervaded by wry cynicism and divisions of social class, all washed down by copious glasses of neat gin. The details are sparse, but authentic. In this, we see that Deighton is truly writing what he knew.



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My review of Mark Twain’s “The Adventures of Tom Sawyer”

The Adventures of Tom Sawyer by Mark Twain

My rating: 5 of 5 stars


There are some rules to good writing that, if followed, tend to improve the reader’s experience and make the text seem more professional. Here are four examples that are often given to would-be writers in creative writing courses: (1) avoid adverbs, (2) avoid arbitrary changes to character point-of-view, (3) show-don’t-tell, (4) keep the ‘voice’ consistent.
Of course, rules are made to be broken. Mark Twain’s The Adventures of Tom Sawyer isn’t just good writing, it’s great writing. And yet, it breaks all of these rules, liberally and willfully. Twain’s literary dance is freestyle, the joyous rhythm of pure storytelling, which casts his narrator’s gaze across an expanse of adverbs, ‘author-splaining’ and character points-of-view as wide as the Mississippi River; all in a literary voice that changes – practically mid-sentence – from the Southern soprano of a Missouri boy to the often ironic tenor of a Yankee intellectual.
Never do you get the sense that Twain takes these literary liberties out of amateurish necessity, as cover for having been a bad student in dance class. He shows you just enough flashes of clever convention to assure you he could, if he wanted, write the whole thing in the elegant ballroom waltz of his (very English and much admired) literary predecessors: Dickens and Thackery.
But Twain’s ambition is not just to tell great stories; it is to tell great American stories. This Americanness, fresh and unburdened by convention, makes The Adventures of Tom Sawyer such an interesting read. The style is raw, because it must be raw, if it is to tell of a country still in its adolescence.
So too the eponymous central character. Tom is a flawed hero, a shabby scholar, and an undisciplined and ofttimes ungrateful nephew to his long-suffering Aunt Polly. His boyish play at piracy or robbery makes no moral distinction between good and evil, and in that, he displays not badness, but the amorality of those who have not yet tasted forbidden fruit. Equally, though, he is bursting with vital energy, courage and shows us throughout the book’s pages glimpses of the American Smooth of goodness, which his manly future self will one day master.
Most of all, Sawyer is free. Free to fight with or befriend other boys, to smoke, to break out of his house at midnight and explore distant river islands, unconventional ideas or “h’anted houses”. He is the Lord of the Dance.
In all of these ways, Tom Sawyer is not a character at all. He is the personification of this juvenile America. His Adventures, set purposefully at the dawn of the civil war, are an allegory for the rise of the United States as it shuffles forward in an awkward, uncharted yet somehow inevitable dance towards greatness.
No wonder this book has entranced generations of American readers. When they read Tom Sawyer’s Adventures, they are not just being told a story, they are being told their own nation’s biography.
Tom’s flaws are their flaws; Tom’s accomplishments are theirs too. And while this ‘Nation-State Tom’ has long since grown up, and the Republic of his manhood long since turned into an Empire frail with decay, still there remains something of that unconquerable American spirit that makes this book important.
As the rock band Rush sang of Tom Sawyer, a 105 years later:
“What you say about his company, is what you say about society.”



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The Age of Post-outrage

Upon hearing the news that the French journalist Natacha Rey was cleared by a French court of defamation in her case against Brigitte Macron, I was prompted to consider the consequences. To be clear, Rey’s claims about France’s first lady are spectacular and scandalous: that ‘she’ is in fact a man, most likely ‘her’ own brother Jean-Michel Trogneux, and therefore that Emmanuel Macron has been duping the French public and the world for nigh on a lifetime.

To be even more clear, I am agnostic on the substance of these charges. If true, I’m not even sure I attach all that much significance to it – I have always held that public figures should be judged for their public actions, not their private ones.

But none of that is the point, because my views are not what matters. What matters is that, under normal circumstances, this should be the Scandal of the Century. After all, it appears that the French voters were lied to. It also raises important questions about issues of state – who has what kompromat behind this salacious truth? Every newspaper, every television, every corner of the Assemblée Nationale should be abuzz with the controversy. Rightly or wrongly, pressure should be mounting on Brigitte Macron to take whatever simple and obvious steps could be taken to dispel this ‘fake news’. (Of course, if that were possible, one must assume her legal team would already have presented that evidence to the Court, and the defamation case would have been won against Rey).

So the real question is not whether Brigitte Macron is the same person as Jean-Michel Trogneux. It is why, in the face of relatively strong evidence that this might well be the case, widespread public awareness is not triggering any political immune response. We appear to have moved beyond the point where the system is capable of focusing enough outrage over issues that in the past, would have constituted major scandals.

Brigitte-gate is not even the most egregious example of this. Take the issue of lab leak. Whatever one still thinks about the Covid ‘vaxxines’, there is now virtually no serious disagreement – neither in scientific circles nor in the public at large – over how this virus came to be: Taxpayer-funded research networks, most likely linked to bioweapons programmes, gave money to a lab in Wuhan China to carry out gain-of-function research on a bat coronavirus. Some variant escaped and became SARS-2, spread across the planet and killed millions of people.

At this stage everyone knows this is what happened. But once again, the outrage is missing. Not only have the authors of this human catastrophe not been held to account, they are in fact still receiving taxpayer funding to carry out more of the same kind of deadly research. When I wrote a fictional book about a 2020 virus, back in 2015, this is the thing I got most wrong. In The Hydra, the outrage is a key theme – it topples governments, it motivates vast public interest, it moves the plot along, in fact. But I wrote that book at a time and in a world where tectonic events caused political earthquakes.

Nor is Covid even the most egregious example. We now live in a world where, not only do we passively watch a genocide unfold using weapons we have paid for, but when the author of that genocide nominates his principle weapons supplier and financial backer for a Nobel Peace Prize, barely anyone blinks. We sit dumbly and shrug as that same weapons supplier flatly tells us that although Ghislaine Maxwell was guilty of five counts of sex trafficking, she trafficked those children to no one at all. Kash Patel’s team didn’t even bother to edit the time stamps for the missing minute in the surveillance video tape of when Jeffrey Epstein was murdered (something I could have done with Adobe After Effects and a few days of careful work).

This kind of political numbness is not new. We saw a similar relationship between demos and veritas among the citizenry of the Soviet Union. A sort of cynical acceptance of the complete disconnect between official narratives and the quietly understood reality of everyday people, best encapsulated in the quip: They pretend to pay us, we pretend to work.

It would be foolish to believe this is harmless. If nothing else, it speaks of a dangerous apathy among the masses that threatens the pluralist roots of our society, and breeds a culture of impunity among those in power. At its worst, it leaves us defenseless against corrosive influences. After all, biological creatures have immune responses for a reason – to warn us of when destructive pathogens have penetrated our systems, and then to mount a defense.

If we’re not careful, we might end up in a situation where one of the world’s nuclear powers is ruled by a man who, at age 39, sexually preyed on a 15 year old boy, while pretending to be a woman.

My review of Katherine Rundell’s ‘Superinfinite: the transformations of John Donne’

Super-Infinite: The Transformations of John Donne by Katherine Rundell

My rating: 4 of 5 stars


I first met poet John Donne there
Where in the century just gone
Every Irish not yet -man and -woman
Was made to memorise his sonnets:
On the bescribbled pages of Soundings,
That schoolbook English greatest hits
With tea stains on it.

I’ll confess he had on me the same effect
As on those his peer detractors
Who felt his metre to erratic,
His imagery too obtuse
For comfort or for ready use.

But sure, what more my story tell
Than of inner city youth?
In truth, no match for soaring
high-boned biographess
Katherine Rundell,
Whose dashing image squats a third
Of th’ rear cover sleeve in hardback.
(Her verso lips appear in colour lurid,
While Donne’s own recto, a pallid white and black)

What could I know of Souls
Like those that Donne proffered?
I who unlike her was never Fellow
Of All of them in Oxford?
With every syllable she writes she fools
Through heavy weight of accent,
Of chevron and three cinquefoils gules.

Yet ‘tis not her pride the deadly sin
That makes Kate’s lips so bright against the pages dun.
‘Tis ours – a sort of rabble pride,
We buy ‘cause we aspire
To transform two weeks in Croyde
Into something higher
Than pricey meals and a long slow, A-road, trafficked, need to stop and wee at the next station car ride.

She peddles for another sort of pride
As transformation
An inconstant poet fraud
Who sold his faith and stole his bride.
Why this odd fascination?

Because if Donne can use fine words to hide
His sins of greed, and sloth and lust,
So surely can our Kate use this pulpit of a type
To sell her stinking English upper crust
And all the sour history in it
As something more than what it is:
Sub-infinite.

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Metaphors under modernity: how language is losing meaning over time

A few weeks ago, I dug up a bush from one place in my garden, trying to save as many of the roots as possible, then carried it over to another spot, where I would prefer it grew. I dug a hole, placed the bush into the hole, filled it around with soil and watered it copiously. This is the literal definition of the word ‘transplant’.

But it is not, by a longshot, how most people use the word, because in the modern world, very few of us spend our time moving plants from one place to another. Often we think of organ ‘transplants’. Or the idea of transplanting a family, ethnic group or business organisation from one physical or conceptual location to another. In fact, most people today, when they use the word ‘transplant’, probably don’t even think about the fact that they are using it in a figurative or metaphorical sense.

A bush in my garden that I ‘transplanted’.

Another example is the expression ‘to sow one’s wild oats’, referring to a young man who travelled without a fixed destination and engaged in sexual relations. A century or more ago, most would have understood the full nuance of the expression. Wild oats (avena fatua) are a grain that is similar to cultivated common oat (avena sativa), but blown by the wind, they spread their seed in an uncontrolled manner and yield no productive harvest. Thus, ‘sowing your wild oats’ was immediately understood to be a dangerous, reckless, and potentially ruinous pursuit. But today, this nuance is lost on the agriculturally ignorant urbanites who trot out the phrase.

The same is true for my transplanted bush. Right now, its main root is buried in the soil, but it is not well fixed and could easily be pulled out. I hope that it will slowly sprout new roots, binding with the new soil, before pushing up fresh branches and leaves. The scars of the brutal transplantation will never go away, but over time it will hopefully survive and flourish in its new location. All of these nuances, which apply equally to the figurative senses of the word, are sadly lost on the large percentage of the population who do not garden. The are not getting the full value from the metaphor – the sense of fragility; the need to first rebuild roots before further visible growth is possible.

And what’s true for bushes and oats is true for a whole host (or ‘hostile army’) of words. Most of the vocabulary we use today ossified (or ‘turned to bone’) at a time in history when certain technologies, like horseriding, were in full trot (or ‘moving along at a brisk, steady if somewhat jerky pace’). With modernity, our language is no longer well anchored (or ‘tethered to a weight at sea’) to, for example, the strong maritime past of our forebears; instead we have drifted (‘flowed’ or ‘moved with the stream’) from these visceral metaphors. In this way, the words have lost some of the richness of their subtext. And as our daily experiences become further and further removed from the physical (agrarian, industrial, nautical) world in which our language was cultivated (or ‘grown with care’), the metaphors will become ever more abstract and flavourless to us.

For sure, there are new technologies that level up (‘increase a character’s level, hit points and other powers in a video game’) the language, but I would swipe left (‘summarily dismiss on a dating app’) on the idea that they will trend (‘climb the rankings on a social media platform’) for very long. Mostly, these terms are an abstraction of an abstraction, they are niche (‘a small cavity in a wall’), and quickly fall out of currency.

What remains to those who would wish to marry (‘join in spiritual union’) metaphor and the life experience on which it is based? Well, you have only to don a pair of gardening gloves, volunteer to muck out the local horse stables or otherwise get your hands dirty.

I imagine not many readers will be chomping at the bit to do so.

My review of “The Psychology of Money” by Morgan Housel

The Psychology of Money by Morgan Housel

My rating: 2 of 5 stars


Some books are so badly written, you can hear the author’s fingers banging on the keyboard, pounding out clumsy phrase after clumsy phrase so loudly it distracts from, rather than reinforces, what the author is trying to say.

The Psychology of Money is not one of those books. Actually, the writing is acceptable enough to avoid being a major distraction. Not good, mind you, but acceptable. Instead I found myself distracted by something else: the complete lack of substance. I wondered how a book so short could still feel so padded out. It was peppered with unnecessary examples and anecdotes that tangentially supported the core point of the chapter – like when he takes you back a hundred years into some semi-famous financier’s boyhood in order to illustrate the point that it is good to leave your investments to ripen, instead of harvesting them too early.

For all the padding, what was missing were any profound insights into … the psychology of money. In fact, the title ought to have been A Few Obvious, Practical Ideas for Managing your Personal Finances. But what I wanted from the book was some deeper psychology. For example, one thing that always fascinates me about money management is what I’ll call the ‘scale paradox’. Back when I was a real estate agent, I observed more than a few times how people would fight and claw to avoid paying an extra 50 cents for a dozen eggs, yet fail to put in the same effort to add an extra ten thousand dollars to the sales price of their house.

Is this because large numbers are simply inconceivable to us?
Is it because we are preprogrammed to care more about tangible, basic transactions than intangible, complex ones?

I don’t really know, because this is one of many, many interesting aspects of the psychology of money Hausel had nothing to say about.

Instead, he informed me that investors are all different, so no single investment strategy can be considered ‘best’, and that he and his wife paid off their mortgage because they like the feeling of ‘owning’ their own home.

Maybe the deepest insight from The Psychology of Money has nothing to do with the content, and more to do with the psychology of book publishing and sales. I.e. how such a shallow, pointless collection of air could sell over six million copies. Figuring that one out – at least for authors like me – would be a true insight into making money.



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My review of ‘The Order of Time’ by Carlo Rovelli

The Order of Time by Carlo Rovelli

My rating: 4 of 5 stars


Time is relative.

You don’t need a beautifully-bound, poetry-studded hardback book to tell you that. You need only compare two very different pieces of reading material to see the principle play out – a 500 page John Grisham paperback novel, versus this above-mentioned hardback: The Order of Time, a 150 page treatise on the meaning of time and the universe, written by one of the most famous physicists alive. The Grisham you will breeze through, barely noticing as the formulaic plot unfolds effortlessly. The day and a half of reading will seem like no time at all.

The Rovelli, on the other hand, you will labour and struggle through, slowly reading and re-reading whole paragraphs, with a mounting sense of desperation as everything you thought you knew about time is methodically picked apart, and you’re not even completely sure you understand why. The weeks it takes you to finish it will feel like months.

I take pride in the fact that I did, ultimately, finish The Order of Time while on holidays on a Grecian island. It was a place where the sun bleaches out of your brain the ability to comprehend anything weightier than a young, ambulance-chasing lawyer from Mississippi cracking his first big case against an evil corporation, while saving the trailer-trashy blonde from her alcoholic, abusive husband. And yet despite the tides, tsatsiki and tarama, I managed to read and, I think, gain insights into something that is nearly as compact and dense as was the universe at the moment of the Big Bang.

I don’t claim to have fully, deeply, understood everything Rovelli sets out, so I won’t do the injustice of attempting a thorough ‘plot’ summary. In rough terms, he begins by picking apart all of our preconceived notions of how time works. He starts with the simple observation that time moves faster the closer you are to a surface of the earth, and from there gets you to a place where time, whether past, present or future, does not really exist at all, except as a cognitive dysfunction of our limited brains, linked somehow to this vague concept called ‘thermal time’ that is in turn linked to the second law of thermodynamics. Much of the details are blurry to me already, but that is probably okay because at the end, Rovelli admits that much of it is blurry even to him.

His thoughts on time take you to the very intersection of physics and philosophy, where the answers are no more solid than the baseball bat that Grisham’s hero uses on page 425 to whack the drunken husband. (Despite the six beers he’s drunk, the bat feels ‘hard’ against his skull, but Rovelli reliably informs us that both the bat and his head are in fact nothing more than a coincidence of quantum events, at some primitive stage of entropy.)

It is this blend with philosophy that also allowed me to forgive Rovelli his indulgent inclusion of poetry quotes and many tangential references to the arts. He is Italian, after all.

My only significant disagreements came later in the book. First, where Rovelli goes head-to-head with Descartes on the ‘Cogito argument’. He does not like Descartes’ “I think, therefore I am” very much, since for him there is some distinction between doubting and thinking, which Descartes does not allow in his first principle. I’m with Descartes, because I see doubt as a subset of thought.

My second bone of contention is that his whole treatise on time does not allow for any discussion of probability and determinism. This seems to me a glaring omission, because the fundamental question – it’s also a question situated at the intersection of physics and philosophy – is whether the universe is deterministic or probabilistic. This has important implications for the separation of future from present. With probabilism, the future is uncertain and must always be considered distinct from the present or past, because ex ante it is ‘unknowable’. With determinism, the only thing that makes the future uncertain is the same veil of ignorance that, in Rovelli’s reckoning, makes the past ‘blurry’ and therefore meaningfully different to the present. In other words, in a deterministic universe it is theoretically possible to know exactly what will happen, everywhere and always, from now until the end of time. ‘Future’ exists only because the supercomputers in our brains are not ‘super’ enough to do all the necessary calculations.

There is of course a third philosophical possibility, which sits between probability and determinism. It is what theologians refer to as ‘free will’ – the idea that the human soul is something special precisely because, in an otherwise deterministic universe, we humans – having been made in the image of God – are the sole entities capable of making meaningful choices. Therefore the future, and time itself, exist because humans have souls, and souls allow for choices, and not even God can predetermine what those choices will be.

If you are still reading this review, my guess is it’s felt like a relatively long read. Grisham’s protagonist would probably already have called his third witness by now.







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On tariffs, migrants, machines and the meaning of work

The pearl-clutching and hand-wringing over Trump’s tariff chaos is a thing to behold. The shock, particularly among Europeans, is almost as funny as it is silly: after all, Trump told us he was going to bring in tariffs during his election campaign. He led in the polls, duly won the election and is now following through on his campaign promises. It says much about how the transatlantic elites view political promises themselves, that they appear genuinely surprised to see Trump doing exactly what he promised his voters he would do.

What is even more hilarious are the post hoc condemnations of this transparent effort to redefine the architecture of 20th Century global trade. Suddenly, long-time critics of globalisation are rushing to its defence, using arguments so textbook that they could have been cut and pasted from a 1980s economics textbook: Prices will go up, growth will stall, the uncertainty will kill business, third worlders will suffer, retaliatory tariffs will hit America hard…

Economics 101: trade is good for everyone, dummy

To get behind this debate, it’s useful to go back to the basics of economics. Every student will remember the name David Ricardo, and the conclusions of his basic trade model that show that when two nations trade together, they both get better off. The intuition behind the Ricardian model is simple: the United States specialises in, say, computer engineering and trades the IT to Vietnam, which specialises in tailoring shirts. Because the US has a comparative advantage in computers and the Vietnamese a comparative advantage in making shirts, everyone is strictly better off from the trade.

David Ricardo was a parliamentarian during the heyday of the British industrial revolution.

Let them eat cake from the Googleplex free buffet”

The problem is what happens to the American shirt makers who are put out of work. In Ricardo’s defence, this was less of a problem in the year 1800, because at the time, Britain’s industries were booming and the factories of Manchester, Sheffield and Stoke had a near insatiable demand for unskilled labour. Even so, free trade worked to depress their wages too, but this effect was invisible in the general rising tide of industrialisation. It would take decades before the horrific inequality and exploitation of unfettered capitalism gave rise to a countermovement, in the person of a handsomely bearded German-Jew named Karl.

In 21st Century America, the story is not quite the same. Voters from flyover states see with their own eyes the factories close down and the poverty set in. Barack Obama’s solution for the out-of-work shirt makers was that they must learn to code. I encourage you to watch the video clip, because the political moment proved to be weighty. In 2013 it took Obama and his out-of-touch DC advisors completely by surprise that this message would backfire so badly. They never imagined that it would help elect Donald Trump a few years later.

Looking at it through the lens of 2025, ‘Learn to Code’ seems absurd. A 50 year old forklift driver from small town North Carolina will not be able to start programming apps in California, when the crates of shirts he loads into trucks are outsourced to Vietnam. For despite what Obama claimed, ‘nearly anyone’ can not learn to code.

This is the essential point from the tariffs debate: because inequality is as high as it is, it is not only possible that market contraction and negative GDP growth be consistent with an improvement in the quality of life of the median American, it is almost axiomatic that this will be true. Because the real issue at stake is that as America shifts production into ever higher-valued added output, the labour share of income has been continuously shrinking. Don’t take my word for it, just look at the chart from the Bureau of Labor Statistics below.

The steady erosion in how much of the country’s income went to labour, as opposed to capital, began to markedly accelerate in the 2000s as the bipartisan trade liberalisation agenda was rolled out and China emerged as a supplier-superpower to replace US manufacturing. Yes, cheap imports kept prices low. Yes, rock-bottom interest rates meant impoverished workers could borrow cheaply. But with widening income inequality, they were always getting worse off, even as the country got richer in exactly the way Ricardo would have predicted.

Trump’s tariffs are his promise to the ‘Left-Behinds’ to turn this process on its head. And let’s be clear: there is every reason in economics to believe that tariffs – however haphazardly imposed – will succeed in increasing the labour share of income by reshoring labour intensive manufacturing. Some cost will be born by the consumer, but because prices are elastic on many consumer goods with global supply chains, most of the cost will be born out of the rents that accrue to capital. Money will flow inland from Connecticut to Ohio; and from California to Wyoming.

The three-headed hydra choking the American working class

Of course, trade is not the only factor driving a deterioration in labour’s share of income. It’s a hydra with two other heads: mass-migration and technology. Mass-migration is, in fact, perfectly analogous to production outsourcing through trade liberalisation, except that instead of having your blue collar job go to a third worlder overseas, the third worlder crosses the sea to take your blue collar job. He might take your house too.

The old Firestone Textile plant in Gastonia, North Carolina closed in the 1990s. Gastonia voted 61.4% for Trump.

I know, I know. Lot’s of reputable economists will vehemently argue against this, claiming that migrant labour is wage-augmenting etc. But it’s notable that none of those economists actually works in a factory. They have never been told that if they don’t want to work late shifts on a Saturday for no extra pay, there are twenty Mexicans who will be happy to take their place. Trump’s supporters, on the other hand, have been told this, which is why they gave their Orange Man a clear mandate to do something about it.

Then there’s technology. Here the economists are a little more attentive to the risks of labour displacement, perhaps because AI software does a better job at forecasting GDP than robots do at stitching together Ralph Lauren shirts. The principle is the same as with trade: every labour-saving innovation shifts more income to capital and away from labour.

And while Secretaries Besset and Noem have shown how they can take care of trade and migration pretty well, it’s not clear to me what, if anything, Trump is prepared to do about the dangers tech poses to the American working class. The President of Mars appears to have a veto over the President of the United States of America, and His Autistic-ness is all for loosening – not tightening – the noose on the Big Tech monopolies that are currently stealing our jobs and our souls.

Cuz man these god damn food stamps don’t buy … self respect

What of the opposition?

Back when Democrats still pretended to care about this problem, their solution was generally some form of fiscal transfer: essentially to tax some of the output gains from capital and give it to labour as welfare benefits. This would compensate them for their share loss in the open borders, trade liberalised, technology-pumped economy. Politically, it’s not hard to see the appeal – you create a system where voters are dependent on hand-outs from government to compensate them for their loss of income created by government policies.

But there are many problems. First, capitalists are insanely good at sneaking past that fourth space on the Monopoly board. This means that in practice, the welfare transfers will have a hard time keeping up with the loss in income share. More importantly, people do not just work in order to have food on the table. They work in order to be part of society, to have a feeling of accomplishment and achievement, something fiscal transfers can never provide. People don’t want hand-outs, they want economic sovereignty.

And to get it, they are prepared to elect an orange-faced egomaniac; they are prepared to see their country’s place in the world economic order decline; they are prepared to endure higher prices; all in order to restore the pride of knowing they are a meaningful part of the economy. They might buy fewer things, but the things they buy will be made by someone whose values they share.

Before you judge them as being short-sighted, do a few shifts in an American factory. If you can find one that is still open, that is.